Please wait a minute...
电网技术
 
      设为首页      加入收藏
 
           About Journal | Current Issue | Contacts Us | Chinese
Power System Technology  2010, Vol. 34 Issue (9): 127-132    DOI:
Current Issue | Archive | Adv Search |
Identification and Evaluation of Risk in Urban Network Planning Based on Fuzzy Theory
HE Yongxiu1, DAI Aiying1, YANG Weihong1, FANG Rui1, LI Furong2
1. School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Changping District, Beijing 102206, China;2. University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK
Download:  PDF(333KB) 
Export:  BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
Abstract  

To enhance the scientificity of urban power network planning, it is necessary to identify and evaluate the risks in urban power network. In this paper, a questionnaire of urban power network concerning the risks in domestic urban power network is designed; then based on fuzzy membership theory the possibility of occurring risk in different stages, i.e., planning stage, feasibility study stage, construction stage and operation stage, etc., and the extent of damage are quantized; and then the comprehensive quantization score of each risk are given; finally, the key risks, which special attention should paid to in planning, construction and operation stages of urban power network, are summarized. The proposed method could offer decision base to evade risks in different stages of urban power network.

Received:  17 September 2009      Published:  05 September 2010
TM 715  
Fund: Project Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)(70671042, 70771039).
Corresponding Authors:  HE Yong-xiu     E-mail:  yongxiuhe@126.com
Service
E-mail this article
Add to citation manager
E-mail Alert
RSS
Articles by authors

Cite this article: 

HE Yong-xiu DAI Ai-ying YANG Wei-hong FANG Rui LI Fu-rong. Identification and Evaluation of Risk in Urban Network Planning Based on Fuzzy Theory. Power System Technology, 2010, 34(9): 127-132.

URL: 

http://www.dwjs.com.cn/EN/     OR     http://www.dwjs.com.cn/EN/Y2010/V34/I9/127

[1] 杨高峰,康重庆,Li Furong,等.电网规划方案的适应性与风险评估[J].电力系统保护与控制,2008,36(23):1-22. Yang Gaofeng,Kang Chongqing,Li Furong,et al.The adaptability and risk assessment in planning scheme of power network[J].Power System Protection and Control,2008,36(23):1-22(in Chinese). [2] 冯喜春.电网规划项目经济风险二级模糊评估[D].北京:华北电力大学,2008. [3] 谢敏,钟金,吴复立,等.基于改进单纯形法的输电网规划项目经济评估[J].电力系统自动化,2006,30(7):10-15. Xie Min,Zhong Jin,Wu Fuli,et al.Economic assessment in power transmission network planning project based on improved simplex method[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2006,30(7):10-15(in Chinese). [4] 刘铠滢,蔡述涛,张尧.基于风险评判的电网规划方法[J].中国电机工程学报,2007,27(22):69-73. Liu Kaiying,Cai Shutao,Zhang Yao.Power network planning method based on the risk estimation[J].Proceedings of the CSEE,2007,27(22):69-73 (in Chinese). [5] 魏远航,刘思革,苏剑.基于枚举抽样法的城市电网风险评估[J].电网技术,2008,32(18):62-66. Wei Yuanhang,Liu Sige,Su Jian.Risk assessment of urban power network based on enumerative sampling method[J].Power System Technology,2008,32(18):62-66(in Chinese). [6] Wei Sun,Yue Ma.Risk assessment in electrical power network planning project based on principal component analysis and support vector machine[C].The 7th World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation,Chongqing,China,2008. [7] 许满库,王海鲲,张东.电网建设项目风险评价研究[J].中国电力教育,2007(S2):221-223. Xu Manku,Wang Haikun,Zhang Dong.Risk assessment in power grid construction projects[J].Electric Power Education in China,2007(S2):221-223(in Chinese). [8] 郭仁桀,王建兴.考虑气象条件影响的电网风险评估研究[J].云南电力技术,2009,37(2):29-43. Guo Renjie,Wang Jianxing.Risk assessment considered the impact of weather conditions in power network[J].Yunnan Eelctric Power,2009,37(2):29-43(in Chinese). [9] 刘德全.浅析青海电网运行的风险及对策[J].青海电力,2007,26(4):1-36. Liu Dequan.Risk and countermeasure of Qinghai power system [J].Qinghai Eelctric Power,2007,26(4):1-36 (in Chinese). [10] 史慧杰,葛斐,丁明,等.输电网络运行风险的在线评估[J].电网技术,2005,29(6):43-48. Shi Huijie,Ge Fei,Ding Ming,et al.The online assessment of operational risks in transmission network[J].Power System Technology,2005,29(6):43-48(in Chinese). [11] 程林,何剑,孙元章.线路实时可靠性模型参数对电网运行可靠性评估的影响[J].电网技术,2006,30(13):8-13. Cheng Lin,He Jian,Sun Yuanzhang.The impact on reliability evaluation of power grid operation from line real-time model parameters[J].Power System Technology,2006,30(13):8-13(in Chinese). [12] 赵珊珊,周子冠,张东霞,等.大区互联电网动态稳定风险评估指标及应用[J].电网技术,2009,33(2):68-72. Zhao Shanshan,Zhou Ziguan,Zhang Dongxia,et al.Dynamic stability risk assessment indicators and application in large area interconnected power syetem[J].Power System Technology,2009,33(2):68-72(in Chinese). [13] 张节潭,胡泽春,程浩忠,等.电力系统规划与静态安全评估软件设计与实现[J].电网技术,2008,32(17):52-57. Zhang Jietan,Hu Zechun,Chen Haozhong,et al.Power system planning and the design and implement of static security assessement software[J].Power System Technology,2008,32(17):52-57(in Chinese). [14] 杨以涵,艾琳,姜彤,等.基于效益风险函数的电磁环网风险评估与控制[J].电网技术,2009,33(7):65-70. Yang Yihan,Ai Lin,Jiang Tong,et al.Electromagnetic loop network risk assessment and control based on benefit-risk function[J].Power System Technology,2009,33(7):65-70(in Chinese). [15] 赵珊珊,张东霞,印永华.智能电网的风险评估[J].电网技术,2009,33(19):7-10. Zhao Shanshan,Zhang Dongxia,Yin Yonghua.Risk assessment of the smart grid[J].Power System Technology,2009,33(19):7-10(in Chinese).
[1] GE Shaoyun JIA Ousha LIU Hong. A Gray Neural Network Model Improved by Genetic Algorithm for Short-Term Load Forecasting in Price-Sensitive Environment[J]. 电网技术, 2012, 36(1): 224-229.
[2] ZHANG Xu LUO Xianjue ZHAO Zheng WANG Kaiyan. Installed Capacity Optimization of Wind Turbine Generators Considering Maximum Economic Benefit of Wind Farm[J]. 电网技术, 2012, 36(1): 237-240.
[3] WANG Rui GU Wei SUN Rong LI Qun. Analysis on Wind Power Penetration Limit Based on Probabilistically Optimal Power Flow[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(12): 214-220.
[4] WANG Guangqiang XIE Kaigui HU Bo WAN Lingyun. A Reliability Level Tree Algorithm for Reliability Evaluation of Medium Voltage Distribution Networks[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(12): 77-82.
[5] PENG Hui ZHANG Xin LI Yajun TAO Lin. Influence of Selection of Connecting Position for UHVDC Transmission Line With Transmission Capacity of 10 GW on the Stability of Receiving-End System in Chongqing Power Grid[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(11): 25-28.
[6] ZHANG Jietan MIAO Miao FAN Hong CHENG Haozhong YAO Liang-zhong. Bi-level Generation Expansion Planning With Large-Scale Wind Farms[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(11): 43-49.
[7] LIU Zhiyu HUANG Wei. A Method for the Optimal Layout of Distributed Generation Based on Steady Analysis and Interval Analytic Hierarchy Process[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(11): 57-61.
[8] SHEN Yu XU Yiqing CHEN Longxiang. Studies on Optimal Planning of High Voltage Distribution Network[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(10): 70-75.
[9] LIAO Feng LIU Qingliang HE Hui CHENG Yiming XU Congying YAO Jiangang. Bus Load Forecasting Based on Improved Grey Model and Meteorological Elements[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(10): 183-188.
[10] ZHANG Yongjun LI Qifeng LIANG Jinzhao. Techno-Economical Analysis on 220/20kV Distribution Voltage Series[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(8): 155-160.
[11] SONG Xiaohui SHENG Wanxing SHI Changkai LI Jianfang. A Modular Method for Planning and Design of Power Networks[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(7): 123-128.
[12] XIONG Haoqing ZHANG Xiaohua MENG Yuanjing TANG Yong SUN Huadong YI Jun XIONG Chuanping. A Decision-Making Model of Multi-Stage Investment for Smart Transmission Grid Based on Technology Readiness[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(7): 1-5.
[13] YI Qiang ZHOU Hao JI Rongrong SU Fei SUN Ke CHEN Jiamiao. Upper Limit of Compensation Degree of High Voltage Shunt Reactor for UHVAC Transmission Lines[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(7): 6-18.
[14] HUANG Ying 扬 李 GAO Ciwei. Multi-Objective Transmission Network Planning Based on Non-DominatedSorting Differential Evolution[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(3): 85-89.
[15] LUO Xiaochu LI Le WEI Zhilian GE Jiangbei. Applications of Life Cycle Cost Theory in Decision-Making of Investment for Distribution Transformers Renovation[J]. 电网技术, 2011, 35(2): 207-211.
No Suggested Reading articles found!
Copyright  ©  POWER SYSTEM TECHNOLOGY
Support by Beijing Magtech Co.ltd   support@magtech.com.cn